The future of health and long-term care spending [E-Book] / Christine de la Maisonneuve and Joaquim Oliveira Martins
This paper proposes a new set of public health and long-term care expenditure projections until 2060, following up on the previous set of projections published in 2006. It disentangles health from long-term care expenditure as well as the demographic from the non-demographic drivers, and refines the...
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Personal Name(s): | de la Maisonneuve, Christine. |
Oliveira Martins, Joaquim. | |
Imprint: |
Paris :
OECD Publishing,
2014
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Physical Description: |
36 p. |
Note: |
englisch |
DOI: |
10.1787/eco_studies-2014-5jz0v44s66nw |
Keywords: |
Economics |
This paper proposes a new set of public health and long-term care expenditure projections until 2060, following up on the previous set of projections published in 2006. It disentangles health from long-term care expenditure as well as the demographic from the non-demographic drivers, and refines the previous methodology, in particular by better identifying the underlying determinants of health and long-term care spending and by extending the country coverage to include BRIICS countries. A cost-containment and a cost-pressure scenario are provided together with sensitivity analysis. On average across OECD countries, total health and long-term care expenditure is projected to increase by 3.3 and 7.7 percentage points of GDP between 2010 and 2060 in the cost-containment and the cost-pressure scenarios, respectively. For the BRIICS over the same period, it is projected to increase by 2.8 and 7.3 percentage points of GDP in the costcontainment and the cost-pressure scenarios, respectively. |