Subjective probability : the real thing [E-Book] / Richard Jeffrey.
Jeffrey, Richard C., (author)
Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2004
1 online resource (xvi, 124 pages)
Full Text
This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.