This title appears in the Scientific Report :
1999
Please use the identifier:
http://hdl.handle.net/2128/3670 in citations.
Volkswirtschaftlich konsistente Energieszenarien zur CO$_{2}$-Reduktion : eine Sektoranalyse mittels Kopplung von einem energietechnischen mit einem makroökonomischen Modell am Beispiel des IKARUS-Instrumentariums
Volkswirtschaftlich konsistente Energieszenarien zur CO$_{2}$-Reduktion : eine Sektoranalyse mittels Kopplung von einem energietechnischen mit einem makroökonomischen Modell am Beispiel des IKARUS-Instrumentariums
The present study deals with the theoretic and practical establishmentof a linkage between the energy technology model IKARUS-LP and the macroeconomic input-output model MIS. Both models were developed within the IKARUS project which had been initiated from the German Federal Ministry of Research an...
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Personal Name(s): | Grundmann, T. (Corresponding author) |
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Contributing Institute: |
Programmgruppe Systemforschung und Technologische Entwicklung; STE |
Imprint: |
Jülich
Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH Zentralbibliothek, Verlag
1999
|
Dissertation Note: |
Oldenburg, Univ., Diss., 1999 |
Document Type: |
Book Dissertation / PhD Thesis |
Research Program: |
Stoffsysteme, Ökonomie und Umwelt |
Series Title: |
Berichte des Forschungszentrums Jülich
3663 |
Subject (ZB): | |
Link: |
OpenAccess |
Publikationsportal JuSER |
The present study deals with the theoretic and practical establishmentof a linkage between the energy technology model IKARUS-LP and the macroeconomic input-output model MIS. Both models were developed within the IKARUS project which had been initiated from the German Federal Ministry of Research and Technology. The aim of the project is the simulation of cost optimal CO$_{2}$ reduction scenarios. In order to keep the structure of the single models unchanged, the soft linkage approach was chosen. This kind of approach employs extensive data transformation of energy demand and technical efficiency parameters. The energy model IKARUS-LP needs sectoral energy demands as exogenous input data. These are provided from the results of the macroeconomic model MIS via demand generators. The results of the model linkage in terms of energy use and CO$_{2}$ emissions are equivalent to the results of the IKARUS-LP single model scenarios. The increased costs of CO$_{2}$ reduction are likely to be caused by the embedding of macroeconomic structures in technical energy scenarios. An explanation for the divergences can be found in the different scientific approaches of the models and the non-consideration of institutional drawbacks and imperfect markets in energy models. |